Highlights of Madina constituency opinion poll

This is the first opinion poll carried out by Global InfoAnalytics Limited, an independent private market research company in Ghana, in their constituency public polling series.

The Madina constituency is the first constituency to be observed in this series. The polling results from the Madina constituency generally suggests that the President and ruling government may be heading for a difficult time in the coming 2020 elections if things remain the same.

Below are summaries of the results from the polling organized according to the main questions posed.

Direction of the Country

As at May 2019, 70.4% of respondents were of the view that the country is heading in the wrong direction compared to 29.6% who were of the viewed that it is heading in the right direction.

Voters’ Voting Intentions

The poll, which was conducted between 9th – 21st May 2019 with a sampling error of +/- 5% shows that less than a third of voters in the constituency will definitely or probably vote to reelect Nana Akufo-Addo come December 2020.

Respondents were asked, would you vote to re-elect Nana Addo as President if the 2020 Presidential Elections were held today? Responding to this question, approximately 27.7% of respondents indicated that they will definitely or probably vote to re-elect Nana Akuffo Addo, whilst 56.8% said they will definitely or probably vote for someone else. 10.7% of voters had no opinion and only 4.7% said they will not vote at all.

However, when responses from likely voters (voters who said they will vote come 2020 ) are considered, the results shows that approximately 61.7% indicating that they will definitely or probably vote for someone else, representing an increase of approximately 5% over general voters preferences. Approximately 29.8% indicated that they will definitely or probably vote for Nana Akufo-Addo, representing a marginal improvement of about 2% over the general voters and 8.2% of likely voters are undecided (will not accounts for 0.3%).

When responses of voters based on their employment status was considered on what their voting preferences are, approximate 31.7% of people with jobs said they will definitely/probably vote to re-elect Nana Akufo Addo, whilst 54.0% people with jobs indicated that they will definitely or probably vote for someone. 10% of the people with jobs are undecided and 3.6% said they will not vote at all.

When responses of students are considered approximately 14.3% said they will definitely/probably vote to re-elect Nana Akufo Addo, whilst 59.6% indicated that they will definitely or probably vote for someone. 19% are undecided and 7.1% said they will not vote at all.

Among the unemployed, 26.1% indicated that they will definitely/probably vote to re-elect Nana Akufo Addo whilst 57.0% said will definitely/probably vote for someone else. 10.3% are undecided and 6.5% said they will not vote at all.

Job Approval

When voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job Nana Akufo-Addo is doing as president, only 27.2% said they approve of his performance whilst 46.9% said they disapprove and 25.9% had no opinion on his performance, resulting in net favourability of -19.7%.

Whilst the President is struggling in the constituency, the Member of Parliament is faring worse with only 20.2% approval and 53.1% disapproval, resulting in a net favourability of - 32.9%.