In the past 15 years, political stability together with some good market-oriented policies, have led to an appreciable growth in real incomes in Ghana. We have also been lucky: While cocoa and gold prices have been high and stable, we have not seen very bad shocks to agriculture. Consequently, Ghana has become one of the most attractive places to invest in the sub-region; and firms are responding to the ensuing competition with innovative and affordable products. This is all good. However, we are still far from middle-income status, in part because the benefits of the growth have largely been concentrated in the top 10% of the income distribution.
The last living standards survey (GLSS V, 2005/06) shows that although those in the bottom 10% (in particular, in cocoa producing regions) have seen modest increases in their consumption levels, there has been almost no change in the fortunes of the middle 60%. Besides, about 32% of households continue to live below the poverty line. Prices in and around Accra increasingly reflect this growing inequality. Want a used car? You either pay over GHc15,000 for a decent car, or less than GHc4,000 for a “lemon.” Education for your kid? You have the choice of a good private school, with smaller classes, but very expensive; or a crowded public school class, thanks in part to the Ghana School Feeding Program. Thirsty? That will be 50Gp for bottled-water, or 4Gp for a sachet of “pure” water. Real estate? The disparity couldn’t be starker. Bottom line is, it is either very expensive or very cheap; not much in between.
The micro-credit promise
This is not surprising though. Today’s production requires a new set of skills and/or start-up capital, which the poor lacks. However, the provision of small loans to the poor, who have little or no access to formal credit, has transformed the lives of many families in the developing world. And there are several institutions (including NGOs) that provide small loans in Ghana. But are these financial services helping to spread the growth? More generally, what is the current state of lending to the poor in Ghana, and what has been the impact on their lives? Clearly, credit will not have any meaningful impact on the lives of the poor with rates this high. Competition will certainly be helpful, but there is little competition because the risks and entry cost are very high. A moneylender, without own capital, will need an acceptable collateral to borrow from a bigger bank at 5 – 9% month, then retail to smaller clients. A related problem is that such high rates drives good borrowers out of the market. These are clients with safe projects but, on average, have lower returns. So a good starting point will be to offer better rates to clients with stellar repayment records. This is why it is imperative that the National Credit Bureau bill be implemented as soon as possible to allow financial institutions (including MFIs) to have access to an individual’s credit history in a loan contract. In addition, technology (e.g., mobile phones) can be exploited to reduce the cost of recovering these loans. For example, it should be easy for a client to repay a loan at a “Space2Space” booth, just as they would top-up phone credits. The payment can be transferred as airtime to an account (a phone number), and the moneylender can redeem this for cash. The savings on labor costs can be then passed on to the clients.
Government, the big elephant in the room
Where are the men?
As in most parts of the developing world, over 90% of micro-credit clients are women. Women make better group-liability clients because a woman is less likely to migrate out of her community. Men (in particular, young ones) are constantly in search of better economic opportunities, and therefore have a higher “flight risk.” But more importantly, women are more likely to spend earned income on their children; a fact that appeals to policymakers and NGOs, because such expenditures are essential in breaking the cycle of poverty in poor households.
But most of these men could also use some credit, if the size is right and they have the requisite trade-able skills. For example, having completed his training as a mechanic, a young man may require a larger amount of money to purchase his first set of tools that can enable him start his own shop. An opportunity for government intervention exists here. Instead of a cash loan, the government can create a program that identifies artisans’ need for tools, and provide these tools as credit. The interest charges can be in two parts: (i) a monetary component at low rates, and (ii) a second part, where a beneficiary is required to provide training for one or two people (which most artisans do anyway). And you have the collateral in the tools provided. Such a program can provide skills and employment for young men, and curb the rural-urban drift. Besides, it can be administered with the help of the District Assemblies.
Micro-credit is not the magic bullet to end poverty, so this should not be misconstrued as a call to offer every poor person a loan. In fact, many people in both the developed and developing worlds are lending-challenged, and most have committed suicide over their inability to pay down debt. But well-designed credit programs, targeted at the right group of people, can create enormous opportunities, bridge the income gap, and help sustain the economic performance in Ghana.