Ghana will bomb out of the World Cup at the group stage in June, and the Black Stars will finish at the bottom of Group G, a highly-respected global sports analysis firm has predicted.
Bloomberg Sports, a firm in Europe that provides the most accurate data-driven match analysis, as well as projections and in-depth analysis for all the major leagues in Europe, says the World Cup in Brazil will be Ghana’s worst-ever showing in the global tournament.
They claim Ghana will finish 25th in the 32-team tournament, which means it will be the Black Stars’ worst appearance at the World Cup.
They predict that Ghana will finish bottom of the Group of Death which includes USA, Germany and Portugal.
Their predictions are based on 100,000 simulations for every game throughout the tournament.
Based on that, Ghana are given the fourth-best chance to make it to the knock-out rounds in their group, though they are given a 27 per cent chance to advance.
The Black Stars are given a 4.4 per cent chance to make it to the semi-finals, and a 0.4 per cent chance of winning it all — not great odds, but not the longest among the field either, as five teams have been given a 0.1 per cent chance of winning the tournament.
They do not think the Black Stars will get out of the Group of Death, as Germany and Portugal will represent Group G in the knockout stages.
In fact, Bloomberg Sports says no African team will get out of their group, as both Nigeria and Ivory Coast have been given the low chances in their respective groups.
The same applies to Cameroon and Algeria.
In addition to Spain and Brazil, the projected semi-finalists are Germany and Argentina, meaning there aren’t any real surprises at that stage of the competition.
The notable surprises, at least based on prior performances, are that Greece will advance from Group C over Ivory Coast and Japan, and Uruguay, semi-finalists in 2010, will not advance from Group D, with England and Italy progressing from that group.
Ghana has previously defied such predictions to reach the knock-out phases of the 2006 and 2010 World Cups.
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