Mussa Dankwah says proper election predictions are usually made much closer to voting day
Pollster Mussa Dankwah has clarified that political surveys conducted years before an election should not be treated as predictions of the final outcome.
Speaking on Bullet TV monitored by MyNewsGh, Mussa Dankwah explained that opinion polls only capture how voters feel at the exact moment the survey is conducted.
“If the 2028 elections were held today, who would you vote for? That is the question,” he said.
According to him, public opinion constantly changes because political events, economic conditions, and national conversations influence voter decisions over time.
“As time goes on, events shape public opinion. Situations make them change stance as to who they will vote for,” he stated.
Mussa Dankwah stressed that it would be inaccurate for anyone to claim that polling data collected in 2026 automatically predicts what will happen in 2028.
“You can’t sit here today in 2026 and predict 2028. It is impossible to do that,” he said.
He explained that proper election predictions are usually made much closer to voting day, after pollsters analyse undecided voters and voter behaviour patterns.
“When we come a week before the elections, we take into account what everybody has said to us, including those who say they are undecided,” he noted.
The pollster also cautioned against misrepresenting survey findings for political arguments.
“If anybody gets up and says in 2026 Mussa Dankwah said somebody will win in 2028, that person is wrong,” he added.
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