Research predicts run-off in 2016 polls

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Ko 9 years ago

What about the role of ec
Was it part of the research

What about the role of ec
Was it part of the research
PRINCE KWASI ADADE (OFIE P33) 9 years ago

SOURCE: NPP COMM.------ Dr. Bawumia pointed out that the NDC had increased Ghana’s debt in seven years by GHC90 billion, from GHC9.5 billion at the end of 2009 to some GHC99 billion currently; an equivalent of some 37 billi ...
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SOURCE: NPP COMM.------ Dr. Bawumia pointed out that the NDC had increased Ghana’s debt in seven years by GHC90 billion, from GHC9.5 billion at the end of 2009 to some GHC99 billion currently; an equivalent of some 37 billion dollars at the time of borrowing. “First, If you sum the cost of all the loan financed projects listed in the green book (even including those with artistic impressions, it is less than $7 billion. Meanwhile, the government has borrowed the equivalent of $37 billion so where is the rest of the money? Indeed, given the resources at its disposal one should expect at least four times the quantum of investment that the NDC claims to have undertaken”, Dr. Bawumia said, as he began listing the six reasons. Dr. Bawumia proceeded to list a number of things the over 30billion dollars from borrowing the NDC cannot account for, could have done, which proves that contrary to the claims, the NDC has done a bad job at giving Ghanaians their due after undertaking unprecedented borrowing in the last seven years.
ADZO 9 years ago

NANA OOO NANA, NANA ALL THE WAY. NANA COME AND SAVE US OOO, NDC IS STRANGLING UE!!!!!!!

NANA OOO NANA, NANA ALL THE WAY. NANA COME AND SAVE US OOO, NDC IS STRANGLING UE!!!!!!!
Akwesi 9 years ago

That man is not serious.

That man is not serious.
Amega 9 years ago

Because the figures are not in your favour.

Because the figures are not in your favour.
Kofi Ata, Cambridge, UK 9 years ago

I just cannot believe what I have read. That a Senior Lecturer at the Statistics Department of the University of Ghana, Prof. Ezekiel Nii Noye Nortey could be that lazy by relying solely on past election results to make defin ...
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I just cannot believe what I have read. That a Senior Lecturer at the Statistics Department of the University of Ghana, Prof. Ezekiel Nii Noye Nortey could be that lazy by relying solely on past election results to make definite prediction of 2016 election as 51.7% and 48.3% for NPP and NDC respectively without consideration for the previous and current relevant factors in the country? He could have predicted a second round victory for NPP without predicting the percentages. Even without considering the relevant factors in each election year, the prediction would still be problematic. The percentages cast serious doubt on his academic and statistical prowess. He has done a disservice not only to himself but the university. This not only lazy work but also lousy and tantamount to academic dishonesty or intellectual bankruptcy.
J0eY L0nDoN 9 years ago

Hahahaha now everybody is catching sir john''s gbeshi syndrome "don't forget to wear your white clothes for Sunday services because our frog eyes pastors predicted our victory"

Hahahaha now everybody is catching sir john''s gbeshi syndrome "don't forget to wear your white clothes for Sunday services because our frog eyes pastors predicted our victory"
DusTY-FooT-pHiloSophER 9 years ago

No comment.

No comment.
May God Forbid 9 years ago

THERE WILL NEVER BE ANY RUNOFF FOR NDC TO GET THE CHANCE TO MANIPULATE ...THIS IS NDC TRYING TO EQUATE ITSELF WITH NPP SCREAMING VICTORY THIS BATTLE WILL BE WON BY THE LORD FOR NPP PERIOD , ALL SIGNS SHOW TOWARDS THAT .NOTHI ...
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THERE WILL NEVER BE ANY RUNOFF FOR NDC TO GET THE CHANCE TO MANIPULATE ...THIS IS NDC TRYING TO EQUATE ITSELF WITH NPP SCREAMING VICTORY THIS BATTLE WILL BE WON BY THE LORD FOR NPP PERIOD , ALL SIGNS SHOW TOWARDS THAT .NOTHING ELES
ALEX 9 years ago

That is Nana and NPP for you, they are preparing grounds for pink sheet court, they keep promising them of victory and when they fail then they hold Ghana to ransom. Oluman will retire

That is Nana and NPP for you, they are preparing grounds for pink sheet court, they keep promising them of victory and when they fail then they hold Ghana to ransom. Oluman will retire

Adongo 9 years ago

Professor Nortey must be an interesting character. He said that "he used previous election results,...with assumptions and presumptions to determine the outcome of his work without considering the situations the political par ...
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Professor Nortey must be an interesting character. He said that "he used previous election results,...with assumptions and presumptions to determine the outcome of his work without considering the situations the political parties find themselves in at the moment". Why not consider the other factors like current state of the parties or those will not have any bearing on the outcome. If so why mention it?

My question is of what benefit are his presumptions, etc to us. Frankly, I am yet to find a more ridiculous assessment from any human being.

From this article, it means he himself is not certain about the outcome because he did not consider ALL parameters to arrive at his conclusion.

What type of behavior is this? And he is lecturing at our university. He must be sacked immediately!!!!
Blackian the General 9 years ago

This a positive talk because npp wil lead ndc in first round but one touch for npp is wat we want God bless npp

This a positive talk because npp wil lead ndc in first round but one touch for npp is wat we want God bless npp
Papa Akwasi 9 years ago

I can't believe this man is teaching students.His methods does not make sense at all.The conditions at 2008 and 2012 as compared to 2016 are dramatically diferent.In Ghana people vote on tribal lines,party affiliation,per ...
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I can't believe this man is teaching students.His methods does not make sense at all.The conditions at 2008 and 2012 as compared to 2016 are dramatically diferent.In Ghana people vote on tribal lines,party affiliation,personality, relations on their stomach and unfortunately not solely on economic and developmental issues.This makes nonsense of prediction in developing countries .My bogus lecturer stop confusing people with your nonsense
CORNEY 9 years ago

No wonder Ghanaians come out with chains of degrees but practically know nothing with these so called professors as their professors.
How can a professor in Ghana calling himself a professor of statistics don't know that suc ...
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No wonder Ghanaians come out with chains of degrees but practically know nothing with these so called professors as their professors.
How can a professor in Ghana calling himself a professor of statistics don't know that such research cannot work in a place like Ghana,a place where somebody can tell you I don't support this or that party but ends up voting for that party,how dumb can he be,or he just want his name to be heard that he is also in the system?
He should give us a break with his foolish research.
BASH 9 years ago

U GUYS SHOULD WORK HARD FOR JM TO RETAIN POWER CUZ HE HAS POTTING A LOT DEVELOPMENT ON THE WAY..LET BE HONEST FOR ONCE.

U GUYS SHOULD WORK HARD FOR JM TO RETAIN POWER CUZ HE HAS POTTING A LOT DEVELOPMENT ON THE WAY..LET BE HONEST FOR ONCE.
nitty-gritty 9 years ago

Ghanaians wants a change

Ghanaians wants a change
Yakubu 9 years ago

Even among Ghanaian professors, there are the "prof banza" ones. This one uses "assumptions" and "presumptions" to predict an outcome. Not hard facts or proper polls or questionnaire. Total RUBBISH !!!

Even among Ghanaian professors, there are the "prof banza" ones. This one uses "assumptions" and "presumptions" to predict an outcome. Not hard facts or proper polls or questionnaire. Total RUBBISH !!!
Asem bisa 9 years ago

Research done from the veranda of the prof.

Research done from the veranda of the prof.
cashflow s.kalou 9 years ago

Well presented research, Npp all the way.

Well presented research, Npp all the way.
Johnny 9 years ago

My dear professor, your methodology is not good enough. I hope you know very well no reputable journal will accept this kind of work for publication. I am so sad that you will put your reputation at stake in this manner.

My dear professor, your methodology is not good enough. I hope you know very well no reputable journal will accept this kind of work for publication. I am so sad that you will put your reputation at stake in this manner.

Papa Akwasi 9 years ago

You don't even know you cannot predict election results from BA ,Central and Greater Accra regions. Never Never.You have really disgraced yourself

You don't even know you cannot predict election results from BA ,Central and Greater Accra regions. Never Never.You have really disgraced yourself
jeff 9 years ago

NPP is coming back

NPP is coming back
Kwasipong 9 years ago

NDC - "Mo b3 we paa ama mo ahu s3 de3 ewiase si te3. Mo se mo nte fo"

NDC - "Mo b3 we paa ama mo ahu s3 de3 ewiase si te3. Mo se mo nte fo"
OKOROMANSA 9 years ago

THOSE PREDICTIONS ARE CLEAR SIGNS OF THE TIMES - PERFECT INDICATIONS THHAT THE END OF MAHAMA AS PRESIDENT IS NEAR. GHANAINS ARE NOT GOINGG TO BE TAKEN FOR GRANTED ANY LONGER, RATHER THEY WILL BE WIDE AWAKE WHEN VOTING IN NOVE ...
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THOSE PREDICTIONS ARE CLEAR SIGNS OF THE TIMES - PERFECT INDICATIONS THHAT THE END OF MAHAMA AS PRESIDENT IS NEAR. GHANAINS ARE NOT GOINGG TO BE TAKEN FOR GRANTED ANY LONGER, RATHER THEY WILL BE WIDE AWAKE WHEN VOTING IN NOVEMBER. MONEY CAN'T BUY THEIR VOTES, AND VAIN PROMISES WON'T CONVINCE THEM EITHER. MAHAMA YAAMUTU! MAHAMA BANZA!
Franklin 9 years ago

Interesting results. Using previous election results without taking current environmental factors into account? What a weak methodology.

Interesting results. Using previous election results without taking current environmental factors into account? What a weak methodology.
King Foster 9 years ago

Ye te no daa

Ye te no daa
kwesi 9 years ago

The prof has no choice to say the contrary for fear of suspension or ban by the NPP. How on earth could he have said something different since the NPP always suspend people and institutiond with contrary views. All he can do ...
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The prof has no choice to say the contrary for fear of suspension or ban by the NPP. How on earth could he have said something different since the NPP always suspend people and institutiond with contrary views. All he can do is to deceive them by bringing out figures on assumptions. Indeed this is the deception the NPP need most. Because the hate the truth. Is good for them to walow in this baseless lazyman varandah researh. I have always told myself that i will always disolve a council that praises me for a council that criticeses me as a leader. Because their crisecism will help me to know the challenges ahead to tackle. For this they are not insulting. Let them continue believing ib deception and not work. Continue fighting the EC and beleive in fake research. Nov 7 will take u like a rapture.
OPANINPA 9 years ago

QUACK ACADEMICS. HE DID NO RESEARCH; ITS ALL WISHFUL THINKING!

QUACK ACADEMICS. HE DID NO RESEARCH; ITS ALL WISHFUL THINKING!
CHE 9 years ago

Ghanaians are not a good sample for political polls because they lie a lot. The only poll that matters is the result on election day.

Ghanaians are not a good sample for political polls because they lie a lot. The only poll that matters is the result on election day.
jk 9 years ago

Good

Good

OMANBA 9 years ago

Don't worry Akuffo-Addo will lose and go beserk again.This time he will hang himself.

Don't worry Akuffo-Addo will lose and go beserk again.This time he will hang himself.
Baba Alhaji, UK 9 years ago

This is clear on the wall, research or no no research

This is clear on the wall, research or no no research
Oswald klertz 9 years ago

Everything has already shown the upcoming victory of our dearest party npp .so why ndc still struggling?? we the electorates are gonna decide on the governing party not the party

Everything has already shown the upcoming victory of our dearest party npp .so why ndc still struggling?? we the electorates are gonna decide on the governing party not the party
james 9 years ago

Too early for somebody to be deceiving anybody of who wins the Nov. 7 polls. seven monthsis along time in politics. experience shows is only Epson"s polls is the most reliable when it comes to election in Gh.

Too early for somebody to be deceiving anybody of who wins the Nov. 7 polls. seven monthsis along time in politics. experience shows is only Epson"s polls is the most reliable when it comes to election in Gh.
Paa-solo 9 years ago

All over the world, individuals do not sit in a small office some where and come up with this kind of nonsense. Research about the outcome of general elections are carried out by co-operate organisations with tack record. be ...
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All over the world, individuals do not sit in a small office some where and come up with this kind of nonsense. Research about the outcome of general elections are carried out by co-operate organisations with tack record. besides, there is always an element of bias in researches of this nature. In order to eliminate this bias, the research is always carried by a group of expects from different backgrounds. Only in Africa this kind of nonsense can happen simply because people like this guy think everyone else is dumb. Well, he got the attention he wanted. We are all reading this crab and making comments about it.
Yosie Kara 9 years ago

NPP, DO NOT BE HISTERICAL YET. NO PRECDICTION HAS EVER WON ELECTION IN GHANA YET !!!!.

NPP, DO NOT BE HISTERICAL YET. NO PRECDICTION HAS EVER WON ELECTION IN GHANA YET !!!!.
samson 9 years ago

If you want to know what the polls can achieve, take your mind back to what happened in the last UK general elections. What the polls predicted turned out to be false. The Labour party's hopes of winning were dashed despite t ...
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If you want to know what the polls can achieve, take your mind back to what happened in the last UK general elections. What the polls predicted turned out to be false. The Labour party's hopes of winning were dashed despite the polls which were emphatic it was going to win it. In the end the incumbent Conservative party won it by nearly a landslide. FORGET THE POLLS, especially the type done by the prof, simply extrapolating previous polls. The real shock will hit many people hopes would have been raised so high, by these polls. The real polls are those done on the day of voting.
NPP KWASEAFUO PARTY. NPP JIMIFUO KUO 9 years ago

NPP KWASEAFUO PARTY. NPP JIMIFUO KUO

NPP KWASEAFUO PARTY. NPP JIMIFUO KUO
adanko 9 years ago

NO MATTER WHAT MAHAMA/NDC ARE DOING WE AREJUST FED UP WITH THE HARDSHIPS THEY HAVE PUT US THROUGH ALL THESE YEARS. ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!

NO MATTER WHAT MAHAMA/NDC ARE DOING WE AREJUST FED UP WITH THE HARDSHIPS THEY HAVE PUT US THROUGH ALL THESE YEARS. ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!
Plasma Kote 9 years ago

Show us the details !!!!!!!!

Show us the details !!!!!!!!
Eddie 9 years ago

Who's writing this? Ndc propaganda. Ignore these diversion and concentrate on pending election.

Who's writing this? Ndc propaganda. Ignore these diversion and concentrate on pending election.
JM 9 years ago

Please are you dreaming. What research is one touch for MAHAMA.

Please are you dreaming. What research is one touch for MAHAMA.
BOY KOFI 9 years ago

In the advanced countries such prediction comes from a specialised institute but not somebody's imagination.You can't come from no where and start giving prediction.Thank you.

In the advanced countries such prediction comes from a specialised institute but not somebody's imagination.You can't come from no where and start giving prediction.Thank you.
Whatever 9 years ago

I feel sorry for the NPP. They are dead

I feel sorry for the NPP. They are dead
steph 9 years ago

Give us a break. The fact that there will be a run-off is no rocket science. It's obvious, looking at the candidates for the four main parties and the conditions in the nation now.

Give us a break. The fact that there will be a run-off is no rocket science. It's obvious, looking at the candidates for the four main parties and the conditions in the nation now.
Koo Baah 9 years ago

Its now that people want Akufo Addo dead. Reason is if this reasearch backfires what do they think will happen to Akufo Addo by December 2016

Its now that people want Akufo Addo dead. Reason is if this reasearch backfires what do they think will happen to Akufo Addo by December 2016
Captein 9 years ago

This is the truth of the analysis that academics will not tell any government.
Remember Prof Nii Noi Norte said two things; 1. His assumptions and presumptions (Ghana English but Ok), then the situation political parties f ...
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This is the truth of the analysis that academics will not tell any government.
Remember Prof Nii Noi Norte said two things; 1. His assumptions and presumptions (Ghana English but Ok), then the situation political parties found themselves in.
So what is the situation political parties found themselves in.
It is only the NDC that finds itself in a bad politico-financial situation. AND what are these? You will be surprised how one little thing leads to the other in overthrowing a government.
The NDC may be thinking their slogan of BETTER GHANA is resonating with the populace.
And the huge loans put into infrastructure may make people happy of course petrol prices stable enough to bring electricity generation to manageable levels and "DUMSOR" as we all know it was over.
The constant drumming of "incompetence" in the ears of the electorate, corruption in government, international prisoners in the land and high debt-to-budget ratio may be the only tool for the main opposition including recent in the dent in the Volta votes by the youth of the land coming out boldly to denounce the perception that government can take them for granted without doing tangible things in the region.
For example the issue of Ho roads to the extent that a whole speaker of Parliament Doe Adjaho a son of Volta will have to plead with the Mahama Administration that at least if nothing at all the NDC should do the Hohoe-Likpe roads to honour Dr Obed Asamoah.
Let us go back to 2000 when the NDC lost the stakes were different and there was inertia in the NDC party, people wanted a change but there was not triggers to allow a change so the NPP resorted to a bit of bugga-bugga to bulldoze their way to power and it worked and was very cheap for them.
Today, let's consider all that this government has done around the country infrastructure is tremendous to say the least and schools have been built but one single issue remained and that is the foreign front.
Remember the Ghanaians in the diaspora, these are 5 million people who do most to support the country with funds to their families and do projects to supplement efforts of government.
So in this election cycle it is even easier that the diaspora have been taken for granted. The issuing of Ghanaian PASSPORTS that have caused diasporans pain from this year is the one single issue that will dislodge the NDC government and it is totally an avoidable damage and costs nothing.
So who are the stakeholders to make this possible is it the Ghana Embassies around the world that have locked up passports applications such that there is a lock-jum of passport processing in all embassies that people could not visit Ghana for Christmas, Easter and the GhanaIan past-time activity of funerals?
Such a disturbing situation has upset many and seem negligible to the ordinary person but a majob dent since it affects both the NDC and the NPP but if you leave abroad even as NDC and know very well that a simple thing as passport is what links you to your roots and you can not access that as a person then even the die hard NDC like all of us will say forget it. Let them burn in hell!
Prof Nii Noi Nortey did not state his aaumprions and presumptions but just this one issue if not eliminated immediately especially in the EU and North America soonest will spell doom for this government. It is not going to be the discussions of what President Kufuor said about Keta sea defence wall or did not say about it. And when the results trickle in by in November, 2016 let no one say had I known because it will be too late.

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Research predicts run-off in 2016 polls

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